Whenever I hear someone said that their portfolio is safe because it is diversified, I could only wonder how. In the world of investing, there are many ways to diversify a portfolio: by style (growth vs. value vs. blend), by sector (i.e. healthcare, technology, etc.), asset class (i.e., small-cap, mid-cap, large-cap), and globally (i.e., EAFE, emerging markets). My allocation is a combination of style, asset class, and global. Though, my allocation is not diversified by sector. So, we'll address this topic.
Why don't I diversify by sector?
Sector diversification, in my view, is too close to speculating what sector is hot and cold. First, can you recall what percent of the market is made up of technology? Is that percentage the same at 1999? Allocating by sector is a constant adjustment and readjustment of either what the market is made up of or what is hot or cold. If everyone knew that technology was the sector to dump in 2000, why did whole technology sector drop so much if it wasn't a surprise? I suspect the same might be said for oil right now. We will see.
Additionally, investing by sector would also incur the most fees, since you are constantly adjusting your allocations based on how you analyze the market. It can become an expensive proposition since most investors who diversify by sector would just invest in the sectors they believe will be hot. This can result in a high turnover on your portfolio, where commissions can eat away at gains (or add to losses) that you would incur.
So, my suggestion is to stick to asset class diversification through index funds or ETFs. Whatever sector is hot will be adjusted correctly in these funds. Best of all, you could just analyze risk, instead of becoming an expert in all sectors that can be invested in.